Capitalism in China is 'work in progress'

International Business

April 28, 2008 By: Meredith Hobbs

The Chinese crackdown on protests in Tibet in the run-up to the summer Olympics in Beijing has not had any real effect on business activities, said Peter A. Neumann, a Shanghai-based shareholder at Greenberg Traurig.

At a Georgia Tech conference on doing business in China, Neumann acknowledged that those in China and its territories “can't question the authority of the Chinese Communist Party to rule,” but he added that the country is “much more open than it was in the early 1980s” in permitting political dissent.

“China wants to be a world player and benefit from the world economy,” he pointed out.

China's increased openness to the global economy means more opportunities for U.S. companies, said Neumann and representatives of the U.S. Department of Commerce and the U.S. China Business Council at Georgia Tech's annual Global Business Forum on Wednesday.

But they warned the audience that it's important to enter the Chinese market well-informed, because the market and the rules governing it continue to change rapidly.

China is still “a work in progress,” said Neumann, who advises foreign companies that want to establish a foothold there. He has worked in China since 1993 and joined Greenberg Traurig almost three months ago to establish a Shanghai office for the firm. Greenberg Traurig was one of the conference's sponsors.

Rapid change

Neumann pointed out that China has transformed from a feudal society to a market economy in just 30 years, since Deng Xioping began a series of reforms in 1978 to open China gradually to the outside world.

In the pre-market system, the time-honored capitalist ideal of “buying low and selling high” was considered disruptive in a state-run economy, said Neumann.

“Someone engaged in unauthorized entrepreneurial activity may have committed the crime of speculation,” he said. He recalled a case in the early 1980s, when he was a student in China, where a man doing a brisk business selling roasted watermelon seeds was repeatedly jailed for “capitalist crimes.”

Under China's state-run economy, Neumann added, manufacturing and investment were handled by the government and an individual was tied to his danwei or work unit, which also supplied his family's housing. People had to obtain government permission to change jobs or to move.

“The landscape has changed entirely,” he said.

Government experiments in selling off state-owned factories and allowing private ownership have accelerated in the past 10 to 15 years, said Neumann.

“Maybe there was a time when it was China Inc., but that has changed,” he said. “The government is pulling back from its direct role in business.” The government has privatized small and medium-sized businesses while keeping key state-owned businesses, such as petrochemical factories, he added.

Neumann said most of the companies he's advised in the past five years have entered China through acquisitions.

No shortcuts

The most common pitfall for foreign companies, he said, is taking shortcuts. A company might operate its China outpost without proper accountability or program management controls, for instance.

“Most problems are avoidable,” he said. “The first thing I tell them is 'Don't rush into a deal just to be in the Chinese market.'"

As an example, Neumann said, a large building materials company initially retained him with the idea of acquiring a Chinese company in its industry. It discovered that the building materials market was saturated and “ripe for consolidation,” he said, and the client elected to bide its time instead.

The client established a local trading company, which allowed it to learn the local market, gain an understanding of its Chinese competition and become more sophisticated in marketing to Chinese buyers. In the heated building materials market, it can afford to wait to buy a local company that does not have the capital to weather the increased competition, Neumann said.

“You have to really understand the business proposition and look for ways of defining and managing risk,” he said. A foreign public company buying a Chinese company often must budget for an initial dip in revenues as they “clean up the operation,” and weed out bribery and kick-backs, he added.

Going green

The Chinese government is taking on a larger regulatory role to combat the rapidly growing market economy's two big problems of corruption and environmental damage, said Neumann. The central government has upgraded its environmental protection agency to a full-fledged bureau, he said, but local governments often don't curb polluting companies.

Even so, said Neumann, “there is a huge potential for green business.”

“Chinese companies are scouting the countryside in the United States for green technology,” said Neumann, in response to government directives to reduce energy consumption.

As China has opened to foreign investment and private enterprise has developed, business activities are becoming governed more by rules and regulations than relationships with party officials. “A rapidly developing market economy has different requirements than a simpler, relationship-driven agrarian society,” said Neumann.

China established its first business laws in response to foreign investment, he said. At this point, “there is an expectation that transactions will take place according to published rules.” On the other hand, he noted that legal institutions with their own independent power still do not really exist.

Comment on laws

In another sign of openness, China now allows outside entities to comment on laws in the drafting stage. Sara E. Hagigh, the deputy director of the Department of Commerce's Office of the Chinese Economic Area, said the United States provided extensive feedback on China's new anti-monopoly law. U.S. anti-trust lawyers met with the Chinese drafters and succeeded in getting some less favorable provisions dropped, she said.

In the same way, the United States wants to influence the reforms that China is currently making to its health care system, and it wants input on the national technology standards that China is developing. Hagigh expressed some concern that China is using these standards to promote domestic industry. While China has become more transparent, it has allowed only a three-day comment window for some standards, she noted.

Hagigh cautioned that China's increased openness to foreign business has limits. The country's latest five-year plan, established last November, calls the foreign acquisition of companies in key Chinese industries, such as automotive, machinery and petrochemicals, a “threat to national security,” she said. This could indicate a retrenchment, stemming from “concerns about stability and maintaining a harmonious society in the face of rapid change and growth in the last several years.”

In some areas, Hagigh noted, Chinese policies favor domestic over foreign companies through the use of subsidies, price controls, favoritism in government procurement contracts and technical regulations and standards that she said are unfair to foreigners.

“In some regions there seems to be a bias in favor of local companies” for government procurement contracts, agreed John Frisbie, the president of the U.S.-China Business Council, whose members are U.S. companies doing business with China.

Frisbie said his group's member companies are concerned about protectionism. “There is an active debate in the Chinese media over the role of foreign companies. Some say they are too dominant and need to be restricted,” he said.

But Frisbie said his members' top concern is recruiting and retaining qualified personnel. Salaries are increasing rapidly in China, and turnover is high, he said. Other big concerns are securing necessary licenses and approvals and intellectual property enforcement.

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World Sneezes, China's Just Fine

Economists say a global slowdown will largely spare a mainland economy still based on domestic consumption and cushioned by vast cash reserves
by Frederik Balfour

The Year of the Rat has certainly gotten off to a less than auspicious start for China. The country got buffeted by the worst winter storms in half a decade, causing food prices to soar and pushing inflation to an alarming 8.7% in February (BusinessWeek, 3/11/08). The Shanghai Composite Index is off 30% since the beginning of 2008, and property prices have started falling in several major cities. China's heavy economic involvement with the internationally unpopular regime in Sudan (BusinessWeek, 2/13/08), and most recently the bloodshed in Tibet (BusinessWeek, 3/17/08) threaten to spoil the country's Olympic parade.

Now comes the U.S. bear market and housing collapse. If you heap this looming U.S. recession onto the litany of China's other woes does it spell a recipe for a total China meltdown? Don't bet on it. In fact, analysts say that the question of decoupling—the notion that China is contagion free from a global slowdown—is actually a misnomer, since "historically, the Chinese economy has never been coupled," says Jonathan Anderson, Asian chief economist at UBS.

So questions of semantics aside, what's really going on? The answer is that while China is widely viewed as an export powerhouse, selling everything from garden gnomes to laptop computers overseas, most of its economic growth is still fueled by domestic investment and consumption, neither of which has shown much sign of slowdown so far. Anderson reckons that China's gross domestic product growth will slow to 10% this year, down from 11.4% in 2007, hardly the kind of slump to cause serious concern for Beijing.

A More Open Economy
Still, the Chinese economy is far more open than it was during the last U.S. recession of 2001. Back then, exports accounted for just 8.4% of gross domestic product and today it's about 40%. The European Union is China's biggest export market, with 20%, just ahead of the U.S. with 19%, while Japan and the rest of Asia take 25%, says Michael Spencer, Asia chief economist at Deutsche Bank. He's estimating growth will slow to 9.5% this year, but only half of that decline will be due to a slower increase in the growth of China's trade surplus.

The reason the linkages from the trade sector to the rest of the economy aren't greater stems from the fact that domestic content only accounts for 25% of exports. Another is that although the export sector accounts for 80 million jobs, the sector most likely to get badly hurt is light manufacturing, which accounts for about 6.5% of total employment in China, while the export sector as a whole accounts for just 5% of total investment, says Anderson.

Bear in mind too that China continues to amass huge amounts of foreign exchange. In January alone reserves jumped $61.6 billion, bringing the country's cash hoard to $1.589 trillion. That's quite a pile available to the government should the need arise to prime the pump of an ailing economy. But that is highly unlikely, says JPMorgan (JPM) China economist Frank Gong. "Investment growth, loan growth, consumption growth, and China growth are strong," he says.

The Chinese proclivity to sock away huge amounts of savings provides a further cushion to a downturn. That means the disturbingly high degree of leverage that got U.S. hedge funds and households into the subprime mess is a problem quite unknown in China where the minimum mortgage down payment is 30%. "Residential mortgages are probably the best asset in the banking sector," says Ryan Tsang, senior director of banking research at Standard & Poors (MHP).



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China becomes 3rd machinery equipment supplier to Brazil

(Xinhua)
Updated: 2008-04-09 14:10


China has become Brazil's third largest machinery equipment supplier, with its machinery exports to Brazil surging nearly 150 percent to $364 million in the first two months of 2008, the Brazilian machinery builders association said Tuesday.

In the period under review, Brazil imported machinery equipment worth $3.27 billion, a 66.1-percent increase year-on-year, according to figures released by the association.

The United States is Brazil's largest machinery equipment supplier, exporting $835 million worth of equipment to the South American nation. It is followed by Germany with an export value of $465 million.

The vice president of the Brazilian Machinery Builders' Association, Jose Velloso Dias Cardoso, said: "Three years ago, China was the 15th supplier of machinery equipment to Brazil. However, by last year it had already climbed up to fourth place, and this year China took a further step by ranking third, after only the US and Germany."

The president of the Brazil-China Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Charles Tang, said made-in-China machinery equipment is gaining popularity due to their high quality and low prices.

This is highlighted by a recent announcement from Brazilian metal and steel producer Gerdau S.A. that it is ready to import Chinese machinery equipment worth $250 million.

Media reports predict China will overtake Germany to become the second largest machinery supplier to Brazil by the end of this year.

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World Economic Forum on Latin America Opens in Cancun


• The World Economic Forum on Latin America opens, with more than 500 participants from 40 countries.
• Latin America is in a better position than ever to withstand a downturn in the global economy.
• China and other emerging Asian economies are natural partners for Latin America.
• The meeting offers the opportunity for Latin American business, government and civil society leaders to exchange ideas and develop regional approaches to global challenges.

... ...

A key factor contributing to Latin America’s more robust economic position is the sharp increase in recent years of trade and investment between the resource-rich countries such as Chile and emerging Asian economies such as China and India that are heavy consumers of energy and raw materials. “We are here because of Latin America’s economic development and social progress,” said Guo Shuqing, Chairman of China Construction Bank, the second largest state-owned Chinese bank. With the Chinese economy continuing to expand rapidly to the point of overheating and the Chinese looking to invest more abroad, Latin America should be a natural partner for China as it addresses the growing challenges of food and energy security and rising inflation, Guo reckoned.

... ...

To read the entire article, please go to http://www.weforum.org/en/media/Latest%20Press%20Releases/LatinAmerica_Opening_PR.

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Law Firms Hiring Attorneys with Expertise in China

Law firms in the U.S. and the U.K. are planning major global expansions, particularly in China. That’s according to a recent survey conducted by the Law Firm Services Group of PricewaterhouseCoopers’ Private Company Services practice. The study finds that law firms both here in the U.S. and across the pond have made significant investments in China and are projecting more than 10% profit growth there in 2008.

More and more corporations are expanding in China. Amid that growth, Executive search firm, A.E. Feldman, reports there is a growing need for U.S. legal services in China as more American companies seek business there. In fact, a number of law firms have already begun staffing up their offices in Beijing, Shanghai and Hong Kong. A.E. Feldman says attorney jobs are opening up at the Senior Associate and Partner level for candidates who are bilingual and have experience in Asia. Among the practice areas in greatest demand: securities, M&A, public and private offerings, private equity and intellectual property. Firms are willing to pay top dollar for candidates who meet these specific needs.

The rising economic tide in Asia as well as the Middle East and Russia, will affect how law firms expand, according to PwC. Stanley Kolodziejczak, Co-Chair of the PwC Law Firm Service Group says, “We expect to see a number of emerging trends including increased profitability of U.S. firms’ foreign offices as they mature, a more in-depth focus on firms opening in China and additional focus on human resource initiatives relating to lateral attorneys and retention issues.”

Expanding in China


Global law firm, Nixon Peabody, recently announced it has opened an office in Shanghai, China. Attorneys in the firm’s China Group are advising clients on how to structure venture capital and private equity investments in China, resolve business and trade disputes, protect and enforce clients’ intellectual property rights, and structure and document acquisitions of Chinese domestic companies.

Scott M. Turner, a Managing Partner of the firm, says the new office positions the firm to help area businesses compete in China - the world’s largest marketplace. In a statement, Nixon Peabody’s Chairman, Harry P. Trueheart, says “Our new Shanghai office offers unique opportunities for our clients’ growing business needs as we help U.S. companies understand and navigate the complexities of doing business in China.”

Diaz, Reus, Rolff & Targ is another international law firm that recently announced its foray into the Asian legal market with an office in Shanghai, according to The National Law Journal. The report quotes the firm’s Managing Partner, Michael Diaz Jr., as saying, “As the world continues its move toward globalization, we feel there is an undeniable and dynamic opportunity in China, because of its successful and consistent trade with Latin America and the Middle East in the rapidly expanding global economy.”

Fulbright & Jaworski has expanded its Asian presence with the addition of five lawyers in Beijing and Hong Kong. The firm established an office in Hong Kong back in 1990 and opened its Beijing office in 2006.

“We are growing and adding depth to our international offices in order to serve better our global clients,” said Steven B. Pfeiffer, Chair of Fulbright’s Executive Committee. “With our presence in Asia, the Middle East, Europe, the United Kingdom and the United States, we believe that we are strategically located where our clients need us to be. An important component of our firm’s international practice involves our representation of clients engaged in business in China.”

Fulbright’s core practice areas in Asia include cross-border transactions, corporate mergers and acquisitions, energy and infrastructure projects and finance. “China continues to be a dynamic and important market for our clients as their global businesses expand,” said Jeffrey A. Blount, Head of Fulbright’s Hong Kong and Beijing offices and Co-Head of the firm’s international practice. “Our presence in Asia is key for our clients, as we continue our long history of cross-border work and build on our strengths.”

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FDA may station inspectors in China



WASHINGTON -- The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has announced plans to place regulators in China, pending approval from the Chinese government.

The agency said Friday the State Department had approved a plan to establish eight full-time, permanent FDA positions at U.S. diplomatic posts in China. The FDA also plans to hire five Chinese employees to work with the FDA at the U.S. Embassy in Beijing and the U.S. Consulates General in Shanghai and Guangzhou. "Our efforts to fill permanent FDA positions in China are a significant step toward ensuring access to safe food, drugs and medical devices in the global market," said Murray M. Lumpkin, the FDA's deputy commissioner for international and special programs.FDA may station inspectors in China

Source:  www.ChinaPost.com.tw.
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Growing Trade Ties China to Latin America

Growing Trade Ties China to Latin America
by Julie McCarthy

China is emerging as an economic powerhouse throughout the world-- including in the backyard of the United States.

Hungry for trade with mineral- and agriculture-rich Latin America, the Chinese are binding themselves closer with the continent, snapping up commodities such as Brazilian soy and Chilean copper in record amounts.

In Brazil, the soy bonanza is changing the fortunes of soy farmers, as well as the landscape.

King Soy

In the steamy state of Mato Grosso that straddles Brazil's midsection, soy rolls over the earth like an endless bolt of green velvet.

If soy is king in this state — which produces one-quarter of the country's crop — farmer Erai Maggi is the kingmaker. The 48-year-old soy tycoon started out with one tractor and 250 acres. Today his combined farms total half a million acres.

A battalion of Case Harvesters rumbles across one of his 100,000 acre farms, evoking a scene from Star Wars: gargantuan metal creatures moving with relentless precision over the land. Above the din of the harvest, a ranch hand delivers some unexpected good news.

"The yield is up," he tells Maggi. One of Maggi's nephews quickly does the math and says it's now 1.4 tons per acre, while the state's average is 1.1 tons.

Relatives in this lucrative family business surround Maggi, offering facts he says he can't be bothered with. Like how much he's worth, or whether he has overtaken his cousin, Blairo Maggi, the governor of Mato Grosso, as the state's biggest producer.

Erai Maggi openly credits China for his expanding empire. On a tour of his farm, he says sales to China spurred 20 percent growth, reviving the fortunes of his company, called "Bom Futuro" (Good Future).

"Two years ago, we thought of scaling back our planting," he says. "But then China started buying our soy. It was our salvation; otherwise we'd be in a mess. So we have to thank China."


Becoming Partners

Because of the growing demand for soy, which is a key nutrient for poultry, swine and cattle, the price has risen from $150 a ton to $300 a ton. But China keeps buying because it has to provide nourishment for its increasingly prosperous middle class.

Raw materials like soy and iron ore form the basis of Brazil's skyrocketing exports to China, which doubled in just three years.

Welber Barral, Brazil's secretary of international trade in the Ministry of Development, Industry and Trade, says China has become "a very important partner to Brazil. In fact, China became the second partner to Brazil after the United States."

Barral also notes that as their commercial ties intensified, 6 percent of all Brazilian exports went to China last year, while 10 percent of all imports came from China. But Barral says Brazil's new trade deficit with China may actually be beneficial for many Brazilians.

"Because we have this sense that it reduces inflation and gives more opportunity for the poor population of Brazil that [now] has cheaper goods," he says. "On the other hand, as a principle, we don't have to reduce the 10 percent imports from China; we have to increase our exports to 12 percent."

China's ambassador to Brazil, Chen Duqing, says the Chinese and Brazilian economies are "mutually complementary" and insists that with China as a partner, Brazil will reduce its dependence on the U.S. market.

At the same time, Duqing acknowledges that he has had to address apprehensions among some business circles in Brazil that a lopsided commercial relationship may be developing.

"They are claiming before my arriving here that China is invading with products," he says with a laugh. "But I told them, 'You know, we understand globalization. Commercial exchange is inevitable. You must buy, we must sell.'"

The Chinese have been outselling Brazilians in sectors such as shoes. By one estimate, done by the Brazil-China Business Council, Chinese competition is responsible for Brazil losing more than 90 percent of its shoe sector in the U.S. market.


Feeling Friction

Sergio Amaral, former Brazilian ambassador to France, says China is as big an opportunity as it is a threat. He cites such unfair competitive practices as dumping in the textile sector, in which he says suits priced at just $1 are entering the Brazilian market.

Amaral says the "big challenge" for the 21st century is "how countries will react to these dislocations — whether it will be possible to accommodate China or whether this emergence will bring about friction and conflict."

Friction is already stirring. China imports far more raw materials from Brazil than manufactured products. In addition, China has not kept President Hu Jintao's promise to make sizable investments in South America, and attitudes are hardening.

Soy farmer Erai Maggi says he is very keen to see China invest in Brazil's long-neglected roads and railways, which make transport costs five times what they are in the United States. But he's skeptical.

"China investing in infrastructure here?" Maggi asks. "I haven't seen a cent of that. Who from China is going to invest? All I hear is talk — just like a parakeet."

The China-driven soy boom also has alarmed environmentalists who say it has pushed farming northward into the Amazon rainforest and changed the quality of the region's rivers. "We are basically changing nature for money in Brazil," says conservationist Adalberto Eberhard.

But the Chinese ambassador, Duqing, says China isn't Canada. He says developing economies that try to industrialize pollute and that every country must find its own way to reconcile development and damage to the environment.

'A Different World'

In the broader frame, the U.S. market share in Brazil has declined the past five years as China's has surged. Rubens Barbosa, former Brazilian ambassador to Washington, says the United States' focus on the war in Iraq made it possible for newcomer China to begin to eclipse the United States in its traditional sphere of influence.

"Other countries are benefiting from this growing lack of presence, not to say interest," he says. "And other countries, Brazil and China, are taking over in Latin America."

Despite the anxities about a rising trade deficit with China, many Brazilians have a sense of expectation now with their economic destiny linked to the Chinese. Many feel their rising economic prowess is putting them on the path to the developed world.

Meanwhile, Amaral says, a partnership between such developing powerhouses as Brazil and China has the potential to change the world in unprecedented ways.

"This superpower, the United States, is facing some checks and balances and that is positive," he says. "A different world is in the offing."

A world that Amaral says is less unipolar and more democratic in its decision-making.

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